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      Title: Appendix for Practice Exam 2015/2016: Statistics II for IB – UG
      Appendix for Practice Exam 2015/2016: Statistics II for IB – UG
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      Practice Exam 2015/2016: Statistics II for IB – UG

      Practice Exam 2015/2016: Statistics II for IB – UG


      Part 1 - Multiple choice questions

      Question 1

      Which of the following statements on type i and type II errors is correct?

      1. A type II error is the inability to reject a wrong null hypothesis.
      2. A type II error is the rejection of a true null hypothesis
      3. A type I error is the inability to reject a wrong null hypothesis.
      4. A type I error is the rejection of a true null hypothesis.

      Question 2

      Which kind of relation do we have between Type I and II errors?

      1. The probability of a Type II error increases as the probability of a Type i error increases.
      2. Type I and II errors are independent.
      3. The probability of a Type II error decreases as the probability ofa Type I error increases.
      4. Type I and II errors are directly proportional.

      Question 3

      Consider to choose among tests, in order to achieve a given power level. In other words, you have a target power for your test, which statement is correct?

      1. We cannot increase power by choosing a larger alpha level.
      2. Other things being equal, for a greater effect size we need a larger sample size to achieve the target power.
      3. We cannot increase power by choosing a larger sample size.
      4. A smaller alpha level typically requires a larger sample to achieve the target power.

      Question 4

      A scatter plot of number of teachers (T) and number of people with University degrees in Dutch cities (P) shows a positive relation. Which is the most likely explanation for this positive association?

      1. Teachers at any school always advise students to get a job requiring a University degree, so an increase in T is causing an increase in P.
      2. Larger cities tend to have both more teachers and more people with University degrees. We can then expect T and P to be increasing in the variable ”size of the city".
      3. Teaching is a common profession for Dutch people with a high income, so an increase in the number of people with University degree and a high income causes an increase in T.
      4. Dutch cities with higher incomes tend to have more teachers and more people going to the University. We then expect T and P to be increasing in the variable ”income". Therefore the causation between T and P is difficult to prove.

      Question 5

      Which ofthe following statements regarding scatterplots are correct?

      1. In a scatterplot the value of a variable is displayed as a function of the value of another variable.
      2. In a scatterplot the value of a variable is displayed as a function of space.
      3. In Multivariate Regression Analysis (MRA), scatterplots are the unique tools to check the relation between a dependent variable and an independent variable.
      4. A scatterplot provides insights on just the linear relation between two variables.

      Question 6

      Consider missing data.

      1. We can replace Missing Completely at Random data solely by their sample mean.
      2. If the missing data are less than 10%, we can replace them solely by sample means.
      3. We consider only the cases with observed values for all the variables.
      4. We can exclude cases listwise or pairwise.

      Question 7

      A researcher observed that in her survey study about travel expenditures individuals who did not provide their household income tended to be almost exclusively those in the higher income bracket. Which sentence is correct?

      1. Statistical results based on a sample reduced to 40% of its original size are surely biased.
      2. Any statistical results based on data with non-random missing data could be biased.
      3. Individuals from a higher income bracket should be excluded from such a survey.
      4. There is no problem; any kind of statistical analysis can be executed based on this data.

      Question 8

      What is one of the distinctions between a population parameter and a sample statistic?

      1. The true value of a population parameter can never be known, and the true value of a sample statistics can be computed if there is no any missing data.
      2. A sample statistic changes across samples, while a population parameter remains fixed.
      3. A population parameter changes across samples, while a sample statistic remains fixed.
      4. The true value of a sample statistic can never be known but the true value of a population parameter can be known.

      Question 9

      Which ofthe following property would indicate that a dataset is not symmetric?

      1. The range is equal to 5 standard deviations.
      2. The range is larger than the interquartile range.
      3. The mean is much smaller than the median.
      4. There are no outliers.

      Question 10

      Which one ofthese statistics can be unaffected by outliers?

      1. Mean.
      2. Interquartile range.
      3. Standard deviation.
      4. Range.

      Question 11

      What is the effect of an outlier on the value ofa correlation coefficient between a dependent and an independent variable?

      1. An outlier always decreases this coefficient.
      2. An outlier might decrease or increase this coefficient, depending on its relation with the other data.
      3. An outlier always increases this coefficient.
      4. An outlier does not have any effect on this coefficient.

      Question 12

      A regression model with variable Y regressed on variable X is used to

      1. To determine if any values for X are outliers.
      2. To determine if any values for Y are outliers.
      3. To determine if a change in variable X causes a change in variable Y‘
      4. To estimate the change in variable Y for a given change in variable X.

      Question 13

      Consider the following population model: Yj = ß0 + ß1X1,j + ß2X2,j + ... + ßkXk,j + εj 

      For any j = 1, ..., N. If all the values of the dependent variable are multiplied by the same constant, what does it happen to the norm of the residuals and R2 of the regression?

      1. The norm of the residuals changes, and R2 stays the same.
      2. Both the norm of the residuals and R2 stay the same.
      3. Both the norm of the residuals and R2 change.
      4. The norm of the residuals stays the same, and R2 changes.

      Question 14

      You collect data on the score Sf on the final exam of a course and on the score S1, S2, S3 on the first, second and thirdassignment of the course, respectively. All the scores are expressed on the integer scale points from 1 to 10. Some data show that there is a relation between these variables. The estimated linear regression model is: Ŝf = 6.8 + 0.0 * S1 + 0.25 * S2 + 0.0 * S3
      One interpretation of the coefficients is

      1. At A student who gets 0 on the second assignment (S2 = 0) is predicted to get 6 on the final exam.
      2. A student who gets 0 on the third assignment (S3 = 0) is predicted to get 7 on the final exam.
      3. A student who gets 4 points more than another student on the second assignment is predicted to get 1 point more than the other student on the final exam.
      4. Students only receive a fourth (.25) of the points for a correct answer on the final exam compared to a correct answer on the second assignment.

      Question 15

      Pick the choice that best completes the following sentence. If a relationship between two variables is called statistically significant, it means the investigators think the variables are

      1. Related in the population from which the sample is draWn.
      2. Not related in the population represented by the sample.
      3. Related in the sample clue to chance alone.
      4. Very important.

      Question 16

      Consider a dependent variable with variance which does not change for different values of an independent variable. With respect this independent variable, the dependent variable is characterized by

      1. Linearity.
      2. Muiticollinearity,
      3. Homoscedasticity,
      4. Heteroscedasticity.

      Question 17

      Consider the following component matrix of a Principal Component Analysis.

      Component:1234
      X6 Product Quality
      X7 E Commerce Activities
      X8 Technical Support
      X9 Complaint Resolution
      X10 Advertising
      X11 Product Line
      X12 Salesfroce Image
      X13 Competitive Pricing
      X14 Warranty & Claims
      X16 Order & Billing
      X18 Delivery Speed
      .248
      .307
      .292
      .871
      .340
      .716
      .377
      -.281
      .394
      .809
      .879
      -.501
      .713
      -.369
      .031
      .581
      -.455
      .754
      .660
      -.305
      .042
      .117
      -.081
      .306
      .794
      -.274
      .115
      -.151
      .341
      -.069
      .778
      -.220
      -.302
      .670
      .284
      -.202
      -.215
      .331
      .212
      .232
      -.348
      -.193
      -.247
      -.206
      Sum of Squares (value)3.4272.5511.6911.087
      Percentage of trace31.1523.1915.379.88

      What is the total percentage of variance explained by the four factors?

      1. (100/31.15)x3.427 ≈ 11
      2. 31.15 + 23.19 + 15.37 + 9.88 = 79.59
      3. (100/31.15)x3.427+(100/23.19)x2.551+(100/15.37)x1.691+(100/9.88)x1.087 ≈ 44
      4. 3.427 + 2.551 + 1.691 + 1.087 ≈ 8.756

      Question 18

      Which of the following is/are critical assumption(s) for factor analysis?

      1. There is a balanced mixture of dependent and independent variables.
      2. Some underlying structure does exist in the set of analysed variables.
      3. There is no multicoilinearity, because this property would cause several estimation problems.
      4. Normality, homoscedasticity and linearity.

      Part 2 - Problem on Multivariate Regression Analysis

      A researcher applies Multivariate Regression Analysis to important characteristics that can influence the amount of customers of a company. For the study, the researcher has at disposal data from 92 customers in 4 metric variables:

      • X8 Technical Support
      • X11 Product Line
      • X15 New Products
      • X19 Satisfaction

      Each variable is measured on an integer scale with points from 1 to 10, with 1 being ”Poor” and 10 being "Excellent". The researcher considers variable X19 as representative of the customer satisfaction with respect to the overall company's activity, while she considers variables X8, X11, and X15 as representative of the customer satisfaction with respect to just a specific part of the company activities, as explained by the variable names. Therefore, the researcher tries to explain the variation in X19 by means of the variation in X8, X11, and X15. The appencix on PART 2 — Problem on Multivariate Regression Analysis" on pages 13-17 contains the SPSS output necessary to answer the questions.

      Question 1

      Explain if Multivariate Regression Analysis is allowed for the given dataset.

      Question 2

      Are there any problems with missing data and outliers?

      Question 3

      Discuss the assumption of normality in this data set. Use a significance level of α = 0.05

      Question 4

      Explain how to test for the presence of heteroscedasticity for the four variables in the dataset. Interpret the test statistics given in the tables. What do you conclude?

      Questions 5-10 refer to the model considered in "Tables and graphs for MODEL 1 in PART 2" in the Appendix

      Question 5

      Provide the linear regression model, and explain what coefficients and variables represent.

      Question 6

      Provide the regression equation for the linear regression model using the entermethod.

      Question 7

      Determine the percentage of variation in the dependent variable that is explained by the regression model. Is this percentage significant? Specify and explain the used test.

      Question 8

      Explain which independent variables have a significant contribution in the prediction of the dependent variable in the regression model. Use a significance level of α = 0.05

      Question 9

      Indicate and explain which independent variable has the highest influence on the dependent variable of the regression equation.

      Question 10

      Does multicollinearity cause a problem in the regression? Explain your answer.

      Questions 11-13 refer to the model considered in ”Fables and graphs for MODEL 2 in PART 2" in the Appendix

      Question 11

      Provide the regression equations for the linear regression models using the sequentialforward method.

      Question 12

      Explain which independent variables have a unique, significant contribution to the prediction ofthe dependent variable. Indicate exactly which table you use in your explanation

      Question 13

       

      Part 3 - Problem on Factor Analysis

      A researcher is studying the market segmentation of a company’s customers and applies factor analysis to important characteristics that can influence this market segmentation. The researcher has at disposal data from 92 customers in 12 metric variables measured on a 0—10 scale with 10 being "Excellent” and 0 being ”Poor". The variables are

      • X6 — Product Quality
      • X7 — E—Commerce Activities
      • X8 — Technical Support
      • X9 — Complaint Resolution
      • X10 — Advertising
      • X11 — Product Line
      • X12 — Salesforce Image
      • X13 — Competitive Pricing
      • X15 — New Products
      • X16 — Ordering & Billing
      • X17 — Price Fiexibility
      • X18 — Delivery Speed

      Appendix Bcontains the SPSS output necessary to answer the questions.

      Question 1

      1. What is factor analysis and what is the goal offactor analysis?
      2. What is the difference between principal component analysis and common factor analysis and why do you apply these methods?
      3. Consider the first set of tables and graphs for PART 3 (pages 19-21). Which extraction method has been used here?

      Question 2

      1. Is factor analysis allowed on this dataset?
      2. Describe three different ways to check if the considered variables are correlated, and evaluate whether the dataset meets the correlation assumption necessary for factor analysis.
      3. In case the assumption is not met, which variable should be removed to apply factor analysis?

      Question 3

      1. What Is a factor loading and what is a cross-loading?
      2. How are factor loadings and factor eigenvalues related?
      3. Consider the second set of tables and graphs for PART 3 (pages 22-23). How much of the variance of variable X12 —Salesforce Image is explained by the first factor?
      4. Consider the factor solution provided in the second set of tables and graphs for PART 3 (pages 22—23). Is it a good factor solution? Why?

      Question 4

      1. What is a factor rotation?
      2. In what situation would an oblique factor rotation be more appropriate?

      Question 5

      1. What is the difference between the Varimax and Oblimin factor rotation? (note that the names for the factor rotations are the ones used in SPSS)
      2. Consider the third set of tables and graphs for PART 3 (page 24). Explain which factor model leads to the easiest interpretation of the underlying structure of the data, and why this happens.
      3. Describe a strategy for validating the factor analysis results.

      Answers Part 1 - Multiple choice questions

      Question 1

      D

      Question 2

      C

      Question 3

      D

      Question 4

      B

      Question 5

      A

      Question 6

      D

      Question 7

      B

      Question 8

      B

      Question 9

      C

      Question 10

      B

      Question 11

      B

      Question 12

      D

      Question 13

      A

      Question 14

      C

      Question 15

      A

      Question 16

      B

      Question 17

      B

      Answers Part 2 - Problem on Multivariate Regression Analysis

      Question 1

      X19 is the dependent variable, and X8, X11, and X15 are the independent variables. From the table "Descriptive Statistics", there are 92 cases with values for the four considered variables. 50 the ratio "sample size to independent variables” is 92:3 = 30.7:1
      It is in agreement with the adopted rule of thumb of having at least 10 times as many cases as independent variables. It is also in accordance with the minimum ratio 5:1 considered in the textbook.
      All variables are metric. Therefore Multivariate Regression Analysis (MBA) is allowed.

      Question 1

      From the table "Case Processing Summary" there is no missing data, so there is no problem.
      There is one possible outlier in X15 —- New Products. This realization can be seen in the X15- boxplot and histogram. There are no apparent outliers in the other plots.
      There are no problems with outliers.

      Question 3

      The assumption of normality can be checked in different ways:

      1. Based on the histograms and boxplots, the variables may be normal. However, the sample probability distribution of X8 and X11 are the closest to a normal. The sample probability distribution of X15 and X19 are characterized by several local maxima.
      2. Based on the P-P plots, all the variables are close to normal variables.
      3. We can consider the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. This test is a test for the equality of probability distributions. The following hypothesis H0 is tested against the alternative hypothesis H1:
        1. H0 = The variable is normally distributed.
        2. H1 = The variable is not normally distributed.

      As asked in the question, we consider a significance level 0.05

      We say that a variable behaves as a normal variable at the 5% confidence level if the value on the column Sig. of the table Tests of Normality is greater than 0.05. Then all the variables behave as normal at the 5% confidence level.

      Question 4

      First, we can consider a Levene test. In this test the following hypothesis is tested:

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